jueves, 30 de agosto de 2012

Nasdaq keeps up IPOs post-Facebook - MarketWatch

By Lynn Cowan

Nasdaq's technical glitches during Facebook Inc.'s /quotes/zigman/9962609/quotes/nls/fb FB -1.24% IPO may still be fresh in some investors' minds, but companies listing new stocks haven't been scared away: The exchange has drawn more initial public offerings than its chief rival, the New York Stock Exchange, since the social network's botched debut.

In the months since Facebook's May 18 listing, 13 initial public offerings have listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market out of 21 stocks that have launched in the U.S., according to Ipreo, a market-intelligence firm.

That's a break with IPO listing trends. In recent years, the NYSE has commanded a larger share of new company launches than the Nasdaq. Of the 21 IPOs that priced before Facebook in April and May, the ratio was flipped, as 13 went to the NYSE. For the full year of 2011, the NYSE grabbed 56% out of 126 total deals, and in 2010 it took 55% out of 154 total, according to Ipreo.

Almost all the Nasdaq IPOs in the post-Facebook group had already decided where they would list before the social network's offering, so it isn't as if companies started flocking to Nasdaq in the wake of Facebook's underwhelming debut, which was marred not only by trading glitches at Nasdaq, but by trading declines after its first day.

However, they aren't staying away from Nasdaq in droves either, if the months of June through August are any indication.

Perhaps unsurprisingly, the two exchanges have different views on the effect Facebook will have on issuers' listing picks.

"What happened during Facebook's offering is factoring into their choice of exchanges today," said David Ethridge, senior vice president and head of the capital-markets group at NYSE Euronext /quotes/zigman/421745/quotes/nls/nyx NYX +0.36% , which operates the NYSE. "It's certainly going to be a consideration for every management team for some period of time."

Nasdaq executives said they have spent considerable time explaining the events that took place during Facebook's debut to potential listees and feel that companies eyeing future IPOs are able to put that behind them and look at the advantages of listing on Nasdaq.

"I would argue that the pipeline of deals waiting to price says we will still take the lead in IPOs throughout the end of the year," said Bob McCooey, senior vice president in Nasdaq OMX Group Inc.'s /quotes/zigman/86035/quotes/nls/ndaq NDAQ -0.39% Corporate Client Group.

But in the long run, the recent IPO shift toward Nasdaq post-Facebook may be a statistical anomaly, given the small number of deals analyzed. According to Ipreo's data of companies that are planning IPOs in the months ahead, a different pattern emerges, more in line with NYSE's dominance in recent years. Of the 59 companies currently in the backlog, 51% are headed to the NYSE, 35.5% have chosen Nasdaq, and 13.5% remain undecided, says the data provider.

In addition to IPOs, the exchanges continue to compete over snatching listings. So far this year, the New York Stock Exchange has lured away nine companies from the Nasdaq. The Nasdaq, in turn, says it has wooed five companies from the New York Stock Exchange, including Kraft Foods Inc.'s (KFT) changeover in June, which marked the first time a component of the Dow Jones Industrial Average changed listing venues. The NYSE disputes Nasdaq's tally, saying only four deals, including Kraft, should be counted.

The pressure for listing claims has only increased since Nasdaq won Facebook, followed by the trading glitch, said James Angel, a visiting associate professor at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania.

"They have been engaged in a serious dogfight for every listing long before Facebook," said Mr. Angel. "These exchanges are not going to be shy about finding every defect in their competition."

On a proceeds-raised basis, the NYSE has also topped Nasdaq in recent years, but that has changed in 2012, with Facebook's $16 billion offering, putting Nasdaq ahead of the NYSE. So far in 2012, the Nasdaq has hosted $20.1 billion worth of IPOs to the NYSE's $11.6 billion. In 2011, the NYSE tallied $30.7 billion compared with Nasdaq's $9.9 billion, according to Ipreo.


martes, 28 de agosto de 2012

Nicole 'Snooki' Polizzi is now a mom; Prince Harry exits Facebook? - Washington Post (blog)

A morning mix of entertainment headlines .?.?.


Snooki and Jionni LaValle, proud parents. (Christopher Polk - GETTY IMAGES)

In case you missed the big news, Nicole “Snooki” Polizzi and fiance Jionni LaValle welcomed a baby boy into the world in the wee hours of Sunday morning. The child’s name is very Italian and normal: Lorenzo Dominic LaValle. Contrary to previous theories, the arrival of Snooki’s offspring did not immediately bring on the apocalypse. Indeed, little Lorenzo arrived at a weight of 6 pounds, 5 ounces without the accompaniment of four horsemen. And, per the tweet below, Snooki is clearly very proud of her little boy. Maybe, dare we say it, she might wind up being a good mom? (Associated Press)

Snooki’s various “Jersey Shore” co-stars tweeted their congratulations to their Mama Meatball. That’s right, they all have family values. (The Hollywood Gossip)

Prince Harry has reportedly shut down the Facebook page he maintained under the pseudonym Spike Wells. According to the Daily Mail, this was due to concern that some photos of the Prince partying on Richard Branson’s private island had been posted to the social networking site. Two of Prince Harry’s friends closed their accounts, too, according to the British tabloid. (Daily Mail)

Oh, we see how it is. John Mayer and Katy Perry call it quits, then Mayer ditches his omnipresent hat, gets a cute haircut and starts being all whispery in Mindy Kaling’s ear. Proceed with caution, Kelly Kapoor. (People)

Emma Stone was pulled over for speeding in Malibu on Saturday, a few days after Andrew Garfield was ticketed for the same offense. They really do everything together, don’t they? (E! Online)

Amanda Bynes’s recent alleged hit-and-run is reportedly prompting police to re-examine her previous alleged hit-and-run. (TMZ)

The Expendables 2” held on to the top box-office spot over the weekend. Also, the conservative documentary “2016: Obama’s America” managed to outperform most of the weekend’s new releases, landing in eighth place. (AP)

The Wachowskis, a.k.a. the filmmaking team that gave birth to “The Matrix,” are reportedly being considered to direct an adaptation of “Justice League.” (Vulture)

What’s the best way to celebrate back-to-school? Watching Flight of the Conchords receive musical advice from adorable children, then perform a song they recorded for the New Zealand charity Cure Kids. (Buzzfeed)

The Museum Victoria Salvador de Rubielos of Mora debuts a... - Lainformacion.com

iDog, iRosol, iPlay, iceCream... Imaginación al poder.

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How Facebook Could Generate $7 Billion In Extra Revenue - Business Insider

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Facebook IPOJulia La Roche for Business Insider

At my company, CoRise, we do a lot of postulating, like “What if…?”

I read a piece by Henry Blodget on the possibilities of search revenue for Facebook. 

It’s thought-provoking and I recommend reading it here. This piece really underscores the “optionality” that has made me positive on Facebook before. 

Recently, I spent a good deal of time reaching out to industry pundits to get their opinions on the prospects for Facebook. 

We discussed many topics, possibilities, and the challenges for Facebook to overcome. The one resounding theme that most agreed with was: In the near term Facebook will have to overcome hurdles (ie. the transition to mobile), but with the audience size they reach and the talent at the company, the company has a tremendous long term opportunity that they should be able to execute against. Of course, execution will be everything.

The challenge in investing is trying to look past the current picture to predict what could be. For example, “how big could revenues become?” or “how large could margins be”? or “what competitive moats does the company have around its businesses?” 

These are all important questions that investors ask, but usually the most difficult one is “how big could revenues become?”.  This is so hard to estimate because it requires thinking about what FUTURE businesses the company might enter, not merely extrapolating the current businesses. 

For example, before 2007, did investors think Apple would have a phone, let alone a tablet?  And unfortunately, investors need to think about the potential opportunities BEFORE they're announced – otherwise it’s too late.

This type of thinking has led me to ponder what various business extensions / partnerships / new revenue lines could the company be considering.  Facebook is filled with smart people and they are clearly thinking about these issues – it would be ignorant to assume they are not.  So I wondered, “If I were working at Facebook in the C-suite, Corporate Development or Business Development, what would I be trying to do?”  The following are some areas that I think would make sense for Facebook to be looking into – each one has a few things in common:

1) it does not harm the user experience (and hopefully augments it)

2) it provides a greater utility for a partner / advertiser

3) it is a large opportunity, because of the large audience reach of Facebook

When one sums up the magnitude of these opportunities, it can be staggering – the total can be in the many billions of revenues (FB is expected to only have $5b in revenues this year). Further, most of these opportunities have huge margins, falling directly to the bottom line.

1) Search$3B Revenue Opportunity

What if Facebook focused on search?  According to AdWeek, Disney and Zynga are already testing the new beta service FB is rolling out. Henry Blodget does a great job covering this in the article I cited above.  Based on the ~500m users that live on Facebook and the ~1.6b searches done each month, he calculates that Facebook could generate ~$1b of incremental revenue immediately.  Further, he calculates that with some tweaks, it could balloon towards $3b of revenues per year.  The best part, it would be almost 100% pure margin (just like it is for AOL today).

2) Commerce$1B Revenue Opportunity

What if Facebook made a real push into commerce?  I’m not saying that Facebook should start taking on inventory, but what if Facebook cut a deal with Amazon for example and opened up “Facebook Stores” where inventory from Amazon and its affiliates could be viewed / bought.  Amazon would love to tap into Facebook’s ~500m monthly visitors.  Doing some simple math, if only 2% of FB users shop at the store per month and spend an average of $50, that’s $6b on gross revenue per year.  Assuming Facebook gets the typical 15% commission, that almost $1b / per year in pure margin revenues for Facebook (20% boost to current revs)!  And that ONLY assumes a 2% shopping rate of users.

3) Payments - $1B Revenue Opportunity

What if Facebook signed a deal with a credit card company like American Express to offer a discount on Payments for developers?  Facebook could incentivize its developers to prefer Amex, with Amex giving a discount to FB developers. It would be a win for everyone: Amex would get access to FB’s users & developers; developers could offer lower prices to their gamers to augment usage; and FB would drive more game development and users engagement. Payments is still small for Facebook (~$800m runrate), but it’s growing >60% and this could add an accelerant. Further, FB could gain access to AMEX’s legion of small businesses, expanding its reach and engagement. So if the discount on apps encouraged users to sign up for an Amex card (for example), FB could receive a customer referral fee. If just 2% of the user base signs up, at a typical $100 customer acquisition fee, FB could have another $1b business. There are many ways payments for Facebook could blossom, and this is merely exemplary.

4) Distribution (Open Graph) - $1B Revenue Opportunity

App Center – What if Facebook charged developers for app downloads?  Facebook is a massive platform that can provide distribution for almost any consumer-facing product.  In June, Facebook just started rolling out its new AppCenter (it’s primary distribution arm).  This is where free apps can be downloaded and played by users.  Facebook does not monetize this directly yet, but it could by taking a percent of in app advertising, charging per download, or by letting developers pay to appear higher in the search for apps.  So if 10% of FB’s 500m users download 10 apps per year and FB charge the developer $1 per app, that would generate $500m (10% bump on revenues).  The developer is happy because they have a new customer and FB benefits for its distribution.  But what if FB also offered incremental ways for developers to stand out from the sea of apps?  Would the developers be willing to highlight their app vs the others (ie think how eBay allows for sellers to “bold” or “color” their listings for a fee).  This could add significantly to this bucket of revenues.  Of course advertising opportunities only augment this possibility.Subscription Services – What if Facebook charged subscription services for new users it signs up?  Earlier this month, Facebook rolled out Subscription services in the app center – initial customers are Zynga and Kixeye.  Techcrunch did a great piece, on how Facebook could earn millions if it collects the typical 30% surcharge for its distribution of Spotify.  What if FB can get 5% of its 500m users to start a monthly subscription to Netflix, Spotify, Hulu, satellite radio or other digital services?  Assuming an $8/mo subscription price and maybe only a 20% cut of the revenues, FB could generate $500m in annual revenue.  Now what if FB applied that to more traditional media, like magazines, newspapers, cable’s “TV anywhere”?  This could become a multi billion dollar business itself. Reed Hastings, CEO of Netflix, is on FB’s board and recently bought $1m in stock – maybe he understands this?

5) Apple – $1B Revenue Opportunity

What if Facebook and Apple formed a tighter alliance?  Apple is in need of a social strategy, with its Ping product failing. Why does Apple need Facebook?  Apple sells hardware – it’s a one time sale and then the customer is gone. Apple is looking for a network effect, aside from the integration of its various devices. It does not provide a compelling reason for its customers to come back each day and engage. What would that be worth to Apple on product reinforcement basis alone? What about an advertising angle for Apple (especially on mobile with its ad service rumored to not be doing as well as Apple would like).  

It could benefit the Apple app store / iTunes as well. So what if Apple integrated FB more tightly and the network effect of social connections created a small lift to sales (ie there was a benefit to users being on similar hardware, access to iTunes, or being mobile)? Apple sold ~50m units last quarter (ex iPod) or 200m units per year just straight lining.  If they had a 5% lift to sales of these units (10m units) and we assume a $700 mixed ASP, that would generate an incremental $7b to Apple.  If FB takes a 15% commission (referral fee), that could drive another ~$1b in annual revenue. This ignores any lift from advertising, where Apple could hone its mobile ads based on social information. Now, what if FB did this with other hardware vendors as well?

There are many other businesses that I think are also ripe for FB to provide a better service to its users while simultaneously monetizing. However, I think the sketched out above ~$7b revenue opportunity paints the larger thesis: There is a tremendous opportunity in front of Facebook, based on its large, active user base.  What if the company executes on this while continuing to augment the consumer utility?  How would the company’s financials could look vs today?  The risk of course is that the company doesn’t execute and collapses under its own weight.  The company’s valuation has come down significantly to ~16x ‘12 EBITDA and 9x ’12 revenues, according to analyst estimates.  However, without new businesses, that is not cheap given the declining revenue growth.  

To be long here on Facebook, I think an investor must ask themselves, “What if….?”

Disclosure: I own FB shares.  My firm has not done any work with Facebook.

7 Asphalt: Heat one of the best racing games for iOS and... - WebAdictos

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The 10 WORST Celebrity Pages On Facebook - Business Insider

Jonah Hill's Facebook page is pretty bare bones.

It had a lot of potential with his "About" section speaking directly to his mom:

"I wanted to start an official Facebook page to have a direct way to communicate with the awesome people who are interested in communicating with me. That means you, mom.

But seriously, mom, you can't be all over my Facebook page trying to see what I'm up to all the time. I'm an adult and I have my own life and you need to accept that. Seriously."

However, Hill has neglected his page since December of 2011. Where are the jokes, the behind-the-scenes photos, the funny?

Sure, the guy has a total of eight films to keep him busy including upcoming roles in "Django Unchained," "The Wolf of Wall Street," and a sequel to "21 Jump Street"; but, think of all the promotion he could do for these films!

At the very least, Hill could add a coverphoto.

59% Of Ecuadorians in Facebook reside in Quito or... - Tecnodatum (blog)

Eduardo Palacios 30 July 2012

MktFan has published a report which includes data on the Ecuadorian users on Facebook.

According to the report, drawn up on the basis of the data provided by the platform for Facebook advertising, only one third of the Ecuadorians would have an active account on Facebook. Other points of interest are:

-July 2012, Ecuador has almost 5 million accounts created on Facebook. In December 2009, there were only about 400,000 accounts.
-Ecuador occupies the seventh position by volume of created accounts, back Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, Venezuela, Chile, Peru. Only outperforms Bolivia, Uruguay and Paraguay.
-More than 57 per cent of accounts correspond to users aged between 15 and 24 years.
-52% Of the accounts have been registered by men.
-Quito, with a population of 1.62 M inhabitants (according to the Census of 2010) recorded 1.35 M accounts.
-Guayaquil and Durán totaling 2.52 M inhabitants (according to the Census of 2010) recorded only 1.28 M accounts.
-6 of 10 users found in Quito or Guayaquil
-74% Interest in entertainment, particularly television shows

Reactions to the report can be followed on Twitter with the hashtag # ecuadorFB.

Eduardo Palacios is founder and editor of Tecnodatum.com. He writes since 2006 about business, technology and telecommunications.{Follow @ ecudatos! function(d,s,id) {(var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js";fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs)};}(document, "script", "twitter-wjs");

{! {(var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js";fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs)} function(d,s,id);}(document, "script", "twitter-wjs"); (function(d,_s,_id) {var js, Confederacy = d.getElementsByTagName (s) [0]; if (d.getElementById (id)) return; js = d.createElement (s); js.id = id; js.src = "/ / connect.facebook.net/en_US/all.js#xfbml=1&appId=136911316406581"; fjs.parentNode.insertBefore (js, Confederacy);})(document,_'script',_'facebook-jssdk'));

The founder of Megaupload wants to shield their identity on Twitter and... - Lainformacion.com

Foto de El fundador de Megaupload quiere blindar su identidad en Twitter y Facebook

A general view of the entrance to the "Dotcom Mansion" of the founder of the portal Megaupload, Kim Schmitz. / WireImage

Sidney (Australia), 1 Aug (EFE).-the founder of the portal Megaupload, Kim Schmitz or Dotcom, accused of piracy by the authorities of United States, wants to Twitter and Facebook to verify their identity to avoid imitators.

The portal of short message Twitter refuses to confirm your account "@ kimdotcom", with which shares the news of his judicial Odyssey, while Facebook does not accept "Dotcom" as his surname, according to several news websites reported today.

Dotcom, resident in New Zealand, wants to Twitter to verify your account to avoid confusion with other users "impostors" as @ kim_dotcom, which achieved some 10,000 followers, according to the "Slashdot" site.

Twitter ended up canceling the account of the "imposter", which did not come to more than 114,000 followers of @ kimdotcom.

The computer genius has posted on the implementation of photo Istagram a photo of yourself with a message that says "Twitter: I really am" that those responsible for the short message page confirming your account to deter future imitators.

The problem is that it does not support as evidence a driving licence issued in Hong Kong containing the surname Dotcom, the founder of Megaupload adopted in 2005.

For its part, Facebook does not accept "Dotcom" as the surname Kim, who in recent years has changed name several times and has two passports with different identities.

Schmitz, also known as Jim Vestor Kim, or Kim Dotcom, Kimble was born 38 years ago in Germany of Finnish mother and, after a brilliant career as a computer scientist, was installed in 2010 in New Zealand from where he was heading the Megaupload website.

Their fate has been truncated last January, when the police searched his house and closed your portal downloads at the request of American justice, which accuses him of hacking, organized crime and money-laundering.

The trial for the extradition of the founder of Megaupload to United States will begin in March 2013.

Fla. college student gets 3 years' probation for posting Obama ... - Washington Post

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Fla. college student gets 3 years’ probation for posting Obama threats on FacebookSmaller TextLarger TextText SizePrintE-mailReprints By Associated Press, AP

MIAMI — A South Florida man has been sentenced to three years’ probation for posting threats against President Barack Obama on Facebook.

U.S. District Judge Marcia Cooke ruled Wednesday that 21-year-old Joaquin Serrapio had acted wrongly but there was no evidence he intended to carry out the threats. Prosecutors agreed to the probation. Serrapio pleaded guilty in May to threatening to kill or harm the president.

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